Househappenings

So Ryan wins again, in a final quiz that was awfully similar to last year's Dick/Zach showdown (in both cases the men disagreed on only one answer). And our long-awaited BB frat house has come to pass. These guys ought to have a little bit of fun in the short run, and perhaps even after the jury questioning--this cast doesn't strike me as especially bitter as BB casts go.

It will be interesting to know the likelihood that Ryan cost himself a lot of money with his decision to go to the end with Adam, but this could be as bad as Ivette's BB6 choice proved to be (final HoH almost always wins in the end, but BB6 was an exception).

So what does everyone think is the likely result here? One man's opinion:

James: Palled around a little with Adam early on before lines were truly drawn; never had any use for Ryan. A safe vote for Adam, I would think.

Sheila: Also solidly for Adam, though with less real bitterness toward Ryan.

Chelsia: Hard to know the extent to which she will be swayed by James. She obviously disliked the women who outlasted her, but mostly spared Ryan and Adam. Shot in the dark, but I'll guess Adam.

Joshuah: Well, he sort of had an alliance with Ryan, though it's all but impossible to imagine any real world scenario where they would ever be friends. But Ryan didn't really help him in the game at all. A tentative pick for Adam.

Sharon: Strikes me as the most likely to vote on a "played the best game" basis, although it's by no means clear to me what the answer to that is between Adam and Ryan--I would probably lean towards the former. She had a kind-of alliance with Ryan, but presumably now realizes that it was there to protect Ryan's flank should she ever win HoH, and not anything he intended to follow through on. Still, I'm going to guess she will vote for Ryan.

Matt: It's not always easy to guess what the earliest jurors will do, especially since the house was a very different place when he was still in there, with two reasonably well-matched sides. My guess is that since he seems to take pride in the fact that his old allies wound up on top, he'll vote for the person he gives primary credit for that happening: Ryan. Also, Ryan had his back with the vote not to bring back James.

Natalie: Who can guess? She seemed on good terms with both, but she struck me as someone who liked Adam slightly more. I see her as a vote for Adam, possibly on the grounds that (as Ryan himself foresaw could be an issue) Ryan has already won quite a bit.

So that's 5-2 for Adam, but it's not quite as much a slam dunk for Baller as I originally figured. A skillful jury performance could do it for Ryan, but the problem there is that Adam is more glib than Ryan is, if often incomprehensible.